S.F. Election, November 2018: Latest Results – Mar, Haney, Walton, Stefani in the Lead

Stay in the know as the ballots roll in.

San Francisco voters participate in early voting at City Hall, Nov. 5, 2018. (Photo: Kevin N. Hume)

Editor’s Note: All results from San Francisco Department of Elections are unofficial. Updates from the department on Nov. 6, 2018 will be provided at approximately 8:45 p.m., 9:45 p.m., 10:45 p.m., and midnight.

Nov. 7, 4:15 p.m. Mar Holds Strong to Lead

The latest results from the Department of Election, released at 4 p.m. Wednesday, show that District 4 supervisor candidate Gordon Mar is holding on strong to his lead, with 56.29 percent of the ranked-choice vote, to Jessica Ho’s 43.71. The Sunset race was the closest on election day, but Mar’s lead eventually grew to a point widely considered to be comfortable enough to win. 

The other hot item being watched all night was Prop. C, to double the city’s homelessness budget through a tax on corporations that make $50 million or more annually. Although a simple majority passes it, it really needs two-thirds to make it rock-solid. As of Wednesday afternoon, it was still short, with only 59.99 percent of the vote. 

The strongest lead of the evening by far was Matt Haney’s, who now has 8,710 first-place votes to Christine Johnson’s 3,830 and Sonja Trauss’s meager 2,760.

But Shamann Walton’s popularity was close behind; he got 5,689 first-place votes, followed by Tony Kelly’s 3,296.

1:10 a.m. Mayor Breed’s Endorsements Have Disappointing Results

After an unprecedented, aggravating delay, the Dept. of Elections updated their site with the fourth and final results of the evening, an hour late. Gordon Mar appears to have won, beating Jessica Ho with 56.16 percent of the vote, to her 43.84. The win finalizes a disappointing series of endorsements by Mayor London Breed, who supported Ho, Christine Johnson, and Sonja Trauss, all of whom lost. Prop. C, which she opposed, passed with 59.91 of the vote.

12:45 a.m. Haney Declares, Mar Pulls Ahead

Haney has declared on Facebook that he’s won the race. “We won. In every single precinct. By a lot. Thank you.” he wrote.

Gordon Mar has also, finally, pulled far ahead in District 4, and he appears to be the winner. He’s ahead of candidate Jessica Ho in ranked-choice voting by 1,626 votes.  

10:45 p.m. The Race Becomes More Clear

The third update of the evening shows Prop C still leads, with 59.87 of the votes. It’s not quite where advocates want it — the ideal is two-thirds, or 66 percent of the vote — but it still looks likely it’s going to pass. 

The closest race continues to be District 4supervisor candidates Gordon Mar and Jessica Ho in the Sunset. Mar has 5,686 first-place votes to Ho’s 4,267, a wider gap than the last count an hour ago. 

District 6 Matt Haney holds onto his lead with 7,887 first-place votes. Johnson has 3,490, and Trauss only has 2,472.

The mood at Calle-11sf Nightclub was electric as Matt Haney danced onto the stage before profusely thanking all his volunteers.

“For us to be doing well everywhere is a testament,” Haney tells SF Weekly, after dancing on stage. “It gives us a strong mandate if these results continue.

“They rejected, I think the message of my opponents,” Haney continued. “People give them a lot of attention. They had nothing like we had. If you want to build a movement, you have to include everyone.”

District 2 incumbent Catherine Stefani holds 8,731 votes in District 2, to Josefowitz’s 7,705. 

In District 10, Shamann Walton is in the lead with 5,198 votes to Tony Kelly’s 3,026. Theo Ellington has 2,483 first-place votes. 

For BART Board, Janice Li holds the lead with 22,494 votes. Eva Chao is in second place, with 15,527 votes. 

9:45 p.m. Second Results Are In

Local propositions are holding steady. Prop A’s funding for the seawall is at 81.29 percent, B has 56.28 percent. Prop. C continues to look good, coming in at 57.51, D is sailing through with 66.48 percent, and funding for the arts (Prop. E) is at 73 percent. 

Regarding the BART Board race, Janice Li has a good lead with 28.83 percent of the votes. In second place is Eva Chao with 21.53 percent, and Melanie Nutter holds third with 17.99 percent.  

The next results for supervisor will come in around 10:45 p.m. If those votes are the last to be released today from the Department of Elections, they will include ranked-choice numbers. But, based on straightforward percentages alone, Stefani, Mar, Haney, and Walton lead the race. 

“Every. Damn. Precinct.” wrote Haney on Facebook. “The TL, Mission Bay, SoMa, Rincon Hill, Treasure Island. We are winning everywhere. Lots of results left to come in. So proud of our team.”

“Matt Haney has won I think,” Supervisor Rafael Mandelman said. “He’s more than 50 percent and the votes shouldn’t get worse for him as the night goes on.”

Asked whether there would be a progressive majority on the board if Haney and Mar win, Mandelman said, “I don’t know what the labels mean but I think there is an opportunity to make a whole bunch of progress on a lot of issues.”

At the Irish Cultural Center deep in the Sunset District, Gordon Mar stood near the bar in a loud room of supporters after early results showed he had more first-place votes than moderate hopeful Jessica Ho. This is the closest supervisor race by far.

“Just the fact that we’re in the lead even if it’s a small margin is encouraging because most people view those as pretty conservative voters who vote early absentees,” Mar said. “We’re ahead in first place votes. That’s encouraging because most people would view those as pretty conservative voters who vote early absentee.

“We were just running to get as many of the first place votes as we can get,” Mar added. “I don’t expect to get 50 percent of first-place votes so then it’s going to come down to ranked-choice voting. It’s anyone’s guess how that’s going to go.”

8:45 p.m. First Results Are In

First round results are in! The supervisor race are as follows:

District 2: Catherine Stefani is in the lead with 55.3 percent of the ranked-choice vote. Nick Josefowitz is behind, with 44.7 percent.

“We have not yet won, but I like what I see so far,” she told a crowd of supporters at Silver Clouds karaoke bar in the Marina. “It is not over yet. But it is so important to me that you helped me carry the message of kindness in politics, grace in politics, and reaching across the aisle in politics because that’s what we need.”

District 4: Jessica Ho has 50.13 of the ranked choice vote, with Gordon trailing slightly with 49.87.

“Things are going to be looking great for Gordon, but it’s going to be hard to say until we see what the turnout in the Sunset,” Supervisor Jane Kim said at his election party. “He ran the best campaign in the District by far.”

District 6: Matt Haney is far in the lead, with 62.45 percent, ranked choice. Second in line is Christine Johnson with 37.55 percent.

Johnson remains hopeful that the lead will be flattened as more ballots are counted. “We don’t know the results yet,” she says. “Too few votes have been counted.”
District 10: Shamann Walton is in the lead with 63.23 percent, followed by Tony Kelly with 36.77 percent.

“We don’t know, but it’s not a good start,” Kelly said. “It’s possible to make up. So we’ll see.”
For the School Board race, Alison Collins has drawn 14.12 percent of the votes, Gabriela Lopez has 11.80 percent, and Fauuga Moliga has 11.70 percent.

The local propositions are also rolling in, with Prop A to repair the seawall with 80 percent, Prop B to expand privacy laws with 56 percent, Prop C to double the homelessness budget drawing 55.44 percent of votes, Prop D’s cannabis tax has 66.98 percent, and Prop E to dedicate taxes to the arts is at 71.74 percent.

4 p.m. San Franciscans hit the polls en masse, with the Department of Elections head predicting this was the best turnout since 1974 (when records started).

Campaigners were out in full force Tuesday, carrying signs down popular corridors and standing on corners. In the Tenderloin, sign holders stood on nearly every corner campaigning for both Proposition C to double the city’s homelessness budget, and supervisor candidate Matt Haney. Jesse James Johnson was standing with a Haney sign on Ellis and Jones streets, and had been since 7 a.m. 

“I’ve never campaigned for a politician before,” he tells SF Weekly. “Matt’s demonstrated to me that he listens, and I think he really cares about the neighborhood. He’s obviously the best-qualified, he’s held public office … he has popular support for the people. I think it’s criminal that the tech billionaires and the mayor are trying to hijack the election. It’s anti-democratic in every way you can imagine. I resent that they’re trying to buy our supervisors’ vote.” 

Down the street, on the corner of Golden Gate Avenue and Leavenworth street, Behrooz Shariati stood solo holding a sign for candidate Sonja Trauss. “I’m supporting Sonja Trauss because she is in favor of more housing, of providing more opportunity to build more affordable housing around the city, and we definitely need that,” he said. 

Next to him were several Prop. C supporters, all notably more than 100 feet from a nearby polling station. Curtis Bradford had been at it since 6 a.m. “I had to stop at Walgreens and buy inserts for my shoes,” he laughed.

With the warm weather, Bradford took it upon himself to hand out water to all the Haney and Prop. C supporters in the Tenderloin. “I was buying bottles of water and going around to everyone on the corners, just making sure they had water and were hydrated. It’s just in my nature to do that.

“There’s a level of excitement in the neighborhood,” he added. “All the people out seem really invested in the campaigns, and having fun.”

Not all voters who’ve already cast their ballot feel like they’d done enough, however. A back room full of volunteer phone bankers in the Mission District have their sights set on elections nationwide, with a special focus on the Senate. Sister District, Democracy Action, Swing Left, and Indivisible S.F. have been phoning voters for special elections, runoffs and the primaries. They’ve been camped out in Harrington Galleries Furniture Store on Valencia and 17th streets since Saturday. 

Drop-in phone bankers were welcome. David Bloom, a lead volunteer, says that while they often disagree on local politics, they generally agree on what candidates should succeed outside of San Francisco.

“It’s not like Heidi Heitkamp will be the person who will fully espouse our values,” Bloom says of the Democrat senator of North Dakota facing a difficult re-election, but “it’s kind of a win for everybody.

“We know who we need to have vote,” he adds. “We just need to get them to vote.”

Our City, Our Home — the campaign behind Prop. C — made one final push on Tuesday to drive support to the polls. One volunteer, Julie Leadbetter, was stationed at the 16th Street BART station at 6:15 a.m. We caught her this afternoon after she’d returned after a nap. She says responses from commuters have been largely supportive, though some were confused or on the fence. A couple people outright rejected the proposition.

With millions in donations from Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff, Our City, Our Home has been creatively getting out the vote all day. A skywriting plane flew over San Francisco, and a cable-car-style trolley is rolling around the city, making stop near John’s Grill — where San Francisco politicians and insiders are known to gather for its free election day luncheon.

“They sort of drove up on the establishment,” Leadbetter says.

Eighth graders at the Children’s Day School on Dolores Street, between 16th and 17th streets, can’t vote but are putting in a valiant effort to make sure others do. They assembled not one, not two, but three nonpartisan voter guides borne out of research on all levels of the government to hand out at the Embarcadero and around the Mission District. Passersby near their school Tuesday can find the class walking around with signs to vote, giddy for the day when they can.

“We’ve been growing up in a time when we see the detrimental effects of not voting,” says Maddy Black. “We can’t just let this happen again.”

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